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Regret Aversion Bias: Why Indian Investors Dread the Decision More Than the Loss

Hero header: article title 'Regret Aversion Bias' with subtitle about Indian investors, plus a 2x2 color grid labeled Lucky, Disciplined Investor, Confused, and Bias-Trapped on a dark blue background.

“I’ll wait for confirmation.” “I want to see one more quarter.” “Let me check after the budget.” Indian retail investors say these phrases hundreds of times a year — and most of the time, the underlying psychological driver is not

Manish GoelApril 27, 2026 Blog Read more

Inventory Turnover Ratio: The Asset-Productivity Metric That Reveals Operating Discipline

Bar chart comparing inventory turnover ratio by fiscal year (FY20–FY25); FY25 is highlighted in green with value 11.

India had 11 crore registered demat accounts at the NSE as of March 2026 — up from just 3 crore in March 2019. A retail revolution. Yet a SEBI study released in 2024 confirmed what disciplined value investors have always

Manish GoelApril 26, 2026 Blog Read more

The Too-Hard Pile: Charlie Munger’s Cognitive-Humility Discipline for Indian Value Investors

Infographic titled The Too-Hard Pile: horizontal bar chart of Multibagger Shares by fiscal year FY20–FY25, values 28,26,22,18,14,11 (FY25 green).

Most of the disasters I have watched investors walk into over the last twenty-five years did not happen because they did not understand the company. They happened because the company was just hard enough to be confusing, just interesting enough

Manish GoelApril 26, 2026 Blog Read more

System 1 vs System 2 Thinking: Daniel Kahneman’s Dual-Process Framework for Indian Long-Term Investors

Infographic grid showing four states of thinking: Lucky (gray), Disciplined Investor (green), Confused (light gray), Bias-Trapped (orange).

Daniel Kahneman’s dual-process theory is the most quietly powerful idea in modern behavioral finance. Master it, and you stop fighting the wrong battles inside your own head. Table of Contents Toggle The 60-Second Frame: Why This One Distinction Decides Most

Manish GoelApril 25, 2026 Blog Read more

DuPont Three-Factor Decomposition of RoE: How to See Through the Most Misunderstood Ratio in Indian Investing

Hero banner for Multibagger Shares: 'DuPont Three-Factor Decomposition of RoE' with subtitle 'How to See Through the Most Misunderstood Ratio in Indian Investing' and a colorful donut chart labeled FY25 Reinvented on a dark blue background.

Return on Equity (RoE) is the single most-quoted profitability ratio in Indian investing — and the most dangerously misunderstood. A brokerage WhatsApp group will scream “this stock has 25% RoE, multibagger ahead!” and an entire generation of new NSE registrants

Manish GoelApril 25, 2026 Blog Read more

Self-Attribution Bias: Why Indian Investors Take Credit for Wins and Blame Luck for Losses

Title slide 'Self-Attribution Bias' with subtitle 'Why Indian Investors Take Credit for Wins and Blame Luck for Losses' over a dark blue background and a 2x2 color block chart labeled Lucky, Disciplined Investor, Confused, and Bias-Trapped on the right side.

You remember every stock you bought that went up. The 3x gain on that mid-cap chemical play? Clearly a product of your research. The 7-bagger in that pharma name? Vindication of your patience and conviction. But that fertiliser stock that

Manish GoelApril 24, 2026 Blog Read more

Working Capital Days & Cash Conversion Cycle

Infographic: horizontal bar chart of working capital days by fiscal year from FY20 to FY25; values shown are FY20 28, FY21 26, FY22 22, FY23 18, FY24 14, FY25 11, with FY25 highlighted in green on a dark blue background.

Most Indian retail investors stare at the P&L. The serious value investors stare at the working-capital lines on the balance sheet — because that is where you can see, in plain numbers, whether a company is growing on its own

Manish GoelApril 24, 2026 Blog Read more

The Fat Pitch Principle: Warren Buffett’s Ted-Williams-Inspired Rule for Swing Selectivity in Indian Value Investing

Hero header with the title 'The Fat Pitch Principle' and a four-block grid labeled Trader, Compounder, Drift, Speculator on a navy background.

Benjamin Graham taught us the grammar of value investing; Warren Buffett gave us its governing metaphor. In his 1997 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Buffett reached past finance entirely and borrowed a picture from baseball. He told readers to keep

Manish GoelApril 24, 2026 Blog Read more

Capacity Utilisation: When Existing Plants Can Fund the Next Leg of Growth

Slide title: Capacity Utilisation: When Existing Plants Can Fund the Next Leg of Growth on a blue gradient background with a lime MULTIBAGGER SHARES badge in the top-left corner.

Capacity Utilisation becomes more useful when investors translate it into audited numbers, cleaner disclosure, and better minority-shareholder readability.

Manish GoelApril 23, 2026 Blog Read more

Base Rate Neglect: The Kahneman-Tversky 1973 Cognitive Bias Behind ₹1.8 Lakh Crore of Indian F&O Losses

Hero section with the title 'Base Rate Neglect' and subtitle; a four-color grid labeled Lucky, Disciplined Investor, Confused, and Bias-Trapped.

Imagine you meet Ramesh, a 34-year-old software engineer in Bengaluru. He reads two books a year on investing, watches a 15-minute market video every morning, and runs a small algo-trading account on the side. His friends describe him as “very

Manish GoelApril 23, 2026 Blog Read more

Debt-to-Equity Ratio: The Single Most Important Leverage Metric Every Indian Value Investor Must Master

Debt-to-Equity Ratio infographic showing fiscal years FY20–FY25 with horizontal bars; values: FY20 28, FY21 26, FY22 22, FY23 18, FY24 14, FY25 11 (green for FY25).

India now has over 11 crore registered stock-market investors, up from just 3 crore in March 2020 — a nearly four-fold explosion in retail participation, according to NSE data. Yet a May 2023 SEBI study found that 9 out of

Manish GoelApril 23, 2026 Blog Read more

Invert, Always Invert: Charlie Munger’s Cornerstone Mental Model for Avoiding Small-Cap Disasters in Indian Value Investing

Infographic bar chart titled 'Invert, Always Invert' showing Multibagger Shares by fiscal year FY20–FY25. Bars decrease from 28 (FY20) to 11 (FY25); FY25 bar is green.

The most useful question a value investor can ask is not “how do I get rich?” It is the exact opposite: “how do I make absolutely certain I will go broke?” Stare at that second question long enough and a

Manish GoelApril 23, 2026 Blog Read more

Mean Reversion: Why Great Companies Can Still Deliver Poor Returns When Expectations Get Too High

Hero banner showing the article title: ‘Mean Reversion: Why Great Companies Can Still Deliver Poor Returns When Expectations Get Too High’ with a lime green Multibagger Shares badge in the top-left and footer text about value investing education.

Mean Reversion becomes more useful when investors translate it into audited numbers, cleaner disclosure, and better minority-shareholder readability.

Manish GoelApril 22, 2026 Blog Read more

Switching Costs: The Invisible Lock-In That Protects Great Businesses for Decades

Hero banner with the article title: "Switching Costs: The Invisible Lock-In That Protects Great Businesses for Decades" on a blue gradient background, lime logo badge top-left, and footer with site URL text.

Switching Costs becomes more useful when investors translate it into audited numbers, cleaner disclosure, and better minority-shareholder readability.

Manish GoelApril 22, 2026 Blog Read more

The Endowment Effect: Why Indian Investors Overvalue What They Already Own

Infographic hero: The Endowment Effect title with a 2x2 color block chart labeled Lucky, Disciplined Investor, Confused, Bias-Trapped.

Walk into any Indian household that has been investing for more than two decades and you will see it: a portfolio that has quietly ossified. A slab of inherited bank shares from 1993. A clutch of PSU undertakings the grandfather

Manish GoelApril 22, 2026 Blog Read more
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My Portfolio CAGR is 112% as on 31.10.2024
My Contract Note of 28.06.2024 showing A.K. Spintex buying at 185 average

Telegram Link - https://telegram.me/longtermequityy

Manish Goel in ABP Live
Manish Goel in LiveMint
Bhopal Samachar

My Other Posts

  • The Share-Price Illusion: Why a ₹10 Share Is Not Cheap and a ₹1,00,000 Share Is Not Costly
  • The Cube of Gold That Cannot Grow: Warren Buffett’s Famous Lesson on Assets That Work and Assets That Just Sit
  • The Voting Machine and the Weighing Machine: Benjamin Graham’s Famous Lesson on Why Popularity Fades and Profits Win
  • Never Invest with Borrowed Money: Warren Buffett’s Simplest Rule for Surviving the Stock Market
  • Whose Report Card Are You Filling? Warren Buffett’s Inner Scorecard for the Everyday Investor
  • Know What You Own: Peter Lynch’s Two-Minute Test Before You Buy Any Stock
  • The Investor Who Never Has to Sell: Benjamin Graham’s Safety-Cushion Rule
  • Only When the Tide Goes Out: Warren Buffett’s Famous Lesson on How Good Times Hide Weak Companies
  • When Everyone at the Party Has a Stock Tip: Peter Lynch’s Famous Cocktail Party Theory
  • Why Good Companies Do Foolish Things: Warren Buffett’s ‘Institutional Imperative’ in Plain English
  • Forget the Forecast: Why the Best Investors Ignore the Economy and Watch the Business Instead
  • The Toll Booth Business: Why Some Companies Quietly Collect a Small Fee From a Huge Crowd
  • Boring Is Beautiful: Why Dull, Overlooked Businesses Often Make the Best Investments
Economic Times Industry Leaders Award for Manish Goel
In last 5 years, Out of my these shortlisted 30 companies, Hazoor Multiprojects Multiplied 21 Times in 2 Years, and Sangam Advisors (Waaree Renewables Technologies ltd) Multiplied 450 Times in 5 Years.
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